The favorite on Kalshi won 479 of 487 midterm races so far. That’s 98%, forecasted before a single vote was counted.

The favorite on Kalshi won 479 of 487 midterm races so far. That’s 98%, forecasted before a single vote was counted. The markets beat the polls and the models. The data 🧵 https://t.co/VMGrKCcWh2

— Kalshi (@Kalshi) November 4, 2026