Nate Silver: Harris's lead in national polls is down to 2.3 points from a peak of 3.5 on 10/2

Today's update. Harris's lead in national polls is down to 2.3 points from a peak of 3.5 on 10/2. The race remains a toss-up, but we're at a point now where we can be pretty confident this is real movement and not statistical noise.https://t.co/vsGVG189Sa pic.twitter.com/Y9xdb3ixeI

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 18, 2024