If Trump wins, the signs were there all along.
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 30, 2024
No incumbent party has won another term with so few voters saying the country is on the right track (28%) or when the president's net approval rating is so low (Biden's at -15 pts).
Also, big GOP registration gains in key states. pic.twitter.com/knDQ2HOFtJ
Part II: If Harris wins, the signs were clear as day.
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 31, 2024
1. She has a higher net favorable rating than Trump, & the more popular candidate almost always wins.
2/3. Post-Roe: When voters vote, Democrats win. See special elections & 2022 midterms, when Dems did historically well. pic.twitter.com/wbrsVdMuep
