Nate Silver: Raw polling average of Harris +2.8 in all post-debate national polls, which would reflect an improvement, but no traditional phone polls yet and it's a bit early to say anything, or at least that's what the model thinks.

Today's update.

Raw polling average of Harris +2.8 in all post-debate national polls, which would reflect an improvement, but no traditional phone polls yet and it's a bit early to say anything, or at least that's what the model thinks.https://t.co/vsGVG18HHI

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 13, 2024