First time in 24 years that the GOP nominee has led after the July 4 holiday, going into conventions.

RCP poll average on this day in prior campaigns:

2020: Biden +9.0
2016: Clinton +4.7
2012: Obama +2.5
2008: Obama +4.2
2004: Kerry +2.0

First time in 24 years that the GOP nominee has led after the July 4 holiday, going into conventions.

— David Weigel (@daveweigel) July 9, 2024