Every past incumbent trailing going into the first debate & lost that debate lost the general election. Very bad for Biden.
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) June 28, 2024
Also, the last 4 first debate winners gained an average of 4 points in the polls afterward. If that holds, Trump may open up a 5-6 pt lead nationally. pic.twitter.com/8KhJEsd8Dc