No other races were in play because it's California and no Republican has won a statewide race there since 2006. It's not a competitive state. For a D to *almost* lose the R candidate has to be good, sure. But also, the D candidate has to be quite poor. https://t.co/Fw82xM8yIQ
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 15, 2023
LOL Harris winning the California AG race by <1 point isn't a sign that it was a tough race, it's a sign she was a bad candidate. Here are winning margins for statewide Ds in CA that year. She's a huge negative outlier.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 15, 2023
+20.3
+19.1
+15.0
+13.0
+12.9
+11.2
+10.0
+0.8 (Harris) https://t.co/femqnDfU3o
