Thursday, November 05, 2020

Is 538's Nate Silver Turning Into Nate "Bronze": The Failure of the Prediction Guru Is Hard Not to Notice

Newsweek reports:
Erik Engquist, senior managing editor of The Real Deal, wrote: "How many elections can Nate Silver's model do this before people stop taking it seriously? It gave Biden a 95% chance to win MI, 94% chance to WI, 69% chance to win FL etc."
Article well worth your time.