GMU prof @bryan_caplan is now, amazingly, 19-0 in public bets with other professors/authors https://www.econlib.org/i-win-my-european-unemployment-bet/ … It seems like his strategy is to just notice when people make predictions that egregiously neglect base rates, and then publicly offer to take the other side

GMU prof @bryan_caplan is now, amazingly, 19-0 in public bets with other professors/authors https://t.co/bulKQ3DG3t

It seems like his strategy is to just notice when people make predictions that egregiously neglect base rates, and then publicly offer to take the other side

— Ryder Cleary (@RyderCleary) November 3, 2019