Flashback to October 2016.The Washington Post has the establishment musing of the Stuart Rothenberg. Stu ... so in touch with reality he said this:
The trajectory of the 2016 presidential race — which will result in a Hillary Clinton victory — remains largely unchanged from May, when Donald Trump and Clinton were in the process of wrapping up their nominations.The establishment's Stu Rothenberg: using scientific data to come up very short. We all are on pins and needles waiting for Stu's 2018 predictions.
But what has changed recently is Clinton’s likely winning margin. For many weeks, even months, I have believed that Clinton would defeat Trump by three to six points. If anything, that range now looks a bit low, with the Democratic nominee apparently headed for a more convincing victory, quite possibly in the four-to-eight-point range.
