Tuesday, June 07, 2016

Harvard Professor: Trump Has Near 50-50 Chance of Winning Election

Bloomberg reports:
Donald Trump has a better chance of becoming president than markets currently project, according to Harvard University history professor Niall Ferguson.

“Trump has a pretty close to 50/50 chance of winning this election, especially since Hillary Clinton is, let’s face it, not a very strong and attractive candidate,” Ferguson said in an interview on Bloomberg Television in Berlin on Monday. “We’re still kind of underestimating this. The betting markets still think that Trump has a one-in-three, one-in-four shot at being president, but it’s actually I think much much higher than that.”

The race between the presumptive candidates has grown increasingly heated in recent weeks, with Trump narrowing his Democratic rival’s lead to a single percentage point at the end of May. The reality TV star and property mogul has defied expectations by broadening his supporter base.
Remember, Harvard is almost an official element of the Democrat party.