Ezra Klein: 'There is a chance that he will win the presidency.'

Vox has Ezra Klein (Democrat-GE) warning Democrats:

So far, we've learned that everything we know about party primaries is wrong, but primaries don't happen in a vacuum. You shouldn't expect that the totally unpredictable 2016 Republican primary will be followed by a totally predictable 2016 general election.

"Predictability" goes both ways. Political scientists don't expect 2016 to look exactly like other elections of the recent past. But they also don't think that the rise of Trump proves that 2016 will be a "realignment" election that fundamentally reshapes the American electorate.

An article worth your time.