Nate Silver's 538 Website- 2014 Midterms Senate Update: Lots Of New Polls, But Few Surprises

538 reports:

Since FiveThirtyEight’s Senate model launched on Wednesday, the biggest shakeup in the campaign has been Kansas Democrat Chad Taylor’s withdrawal from the race. We don’t know yet what effect that will have on the campaign or control of the Senate. But new polls in other races mostly confirm our sense of where the elections are headed.

As of Friday afternoon, FiveThirtyEight projects Republicans have a 63.5 percent chance of winning the Senate. The forecast is little changed from when the model launched on Wednesday.

Check out the breakdown.