we continue to see Republicans as slightly more likely than not to win a net of six seats this November and control of the Senate. A lot of it is simply reversion to the mean.2 This may not be a “wave” election as 2010 was, but Republicans don’t need a wave to take over the Senate.An article well worth your time.
However, I also want to advance a cautionary note. It’s still early, and we should not rule out the possibility that one party could win most or all of the competitive races.
Monday, August 04, 2014
Political Guru Nate Silver: Republicans Remain Slightly Favored To Take Control Of The Senate
538 reports: