All of the election models are starting to converge. And they are all pointing to a Republican Senate.

The Washington Post reports:

Over the past few days, two of three big election models -- the Post's and the New York Times' -- have updated their predictions about the likelihood of Republicans taking the Senate majority in 69 days. And, the predictions are remarkably similar.

First, the Post's Election Lab, run by George Washington University professor John Sides, gives Republicans a 58 percent chance of winning the six seats they need to be in the majority come 2015. Writes Sides: "The Republicans are very likely to control at least 48 seats after the elections, including Georgia. With just three seats out of the [six] discussed above, they would take control of the Senate. That’s why we still see them as having a better than 50:50 chance to do it."


Leo, the New York Times' Senate model, shows Republicans with a 67 percent chance of taking the majority.

The liberal establishment speaks.