Republicans Poised for Big Upset in NY-9

Political Wire reports:

A new Public Policy Polling survey in New York's 9th congressional district finds Bob Turner (R) leading David Welprin (D) by six points, 47% to 41%.

Key finding: "If Turner wins on Tuesday it will be largely due to the incredible unpopularity of Barack Obama dragging his party down in the district. Obama won 55% there in 2008 but now has a staggeringly bad 31% approval rating, with 56% of voters disapproving of him... Weprin has been much maligned as a candidate but he actually has positive favorability numbers too with 39% of voters rating him positively and 36% negatively. Over the last few years there have been very few races we polled where a candidate had a postive net favorability spread and still lost. If Obama's approval in the district was even 40% Weprin would almost definitely be headed to Congress. He's getting dragged down by something bigger than himself."

Just a reminder, PPP is the pollster of the Daily Kos( not know overpolling Republicans or libertarians).