Thursday, July 14, 2011

The impending slow motion doom for housing – can the United States thrive with another decade long decline in home values?

Dr. Housing Bubble reports:
The real estate market is destined for a slow and painful adjustment for the upcoming decade. The demographic shift and also the reality that the current generation will be poorer than the baby boomers will make it difficult to sustain home values even at current levels. Our economy is largely driven by the financial sector and their asset of choice is real estate. Yet we are running out of options when it comes to keeping real estate values inflated. We’ve tried artificially low interest rates with the Federal Reserve buying up mortgage backed securities with no natural market demand. We’ve tried tax credits. We’ve even tried ignoring homeowners who miss mortgage payments as a method of artificially keeping supply low. Yet home prices continue to move lower in tandem with lower household incomes. Home prices in the U.S. are now back to 2003 levels painfully retracing a decade long boom. But as we are now realizing, no amount of financial engineering can come up with a free lunch.
Can you say even lower housing prices?