46% of today’s Democratic coalition believes “the assassination attempt against Donald Trump in July 2024 was orchestrated by his supporters to increase sympathy for him.”

Yeah, this is a more common belief than I think people want to acknowledge. In part because Democrats have a bigger delta between normie/base and elite/media discourse (i.e. less tolerance for conspiratorial thinking). https://t.co/JKmvB6u7hi

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) April 28, 2026