Election forecasters try to bring some order to a chaotic political year

The Washington Post reports:

Sometimes there is unanimity — or close to it — among the political science models. Not this year. Most see Clinton as the winner, but at least two models project that, on Inauguration Day, it will be Trump taking the oath of office. The modelers are standing by their projections, though with varying degrees of confidence because Trump is a wild-card candidate. Two of the political scientists, because of their own political leanings, hope their models turn out to be wrong this year.

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