Thursday, October 30, 2014

Mayor Hurt Locker : Rahm Emanuel is blowing up Chicago’s problems. But are they blowing up his political future?

Politico

The Myth of the “Good School District”

Brian Wilson

'It will be ugly': GOP Senate win to ax hundreds of Democratic jobs

The Washington Examiner reports:
With projections of a GOP win growing daily, nervousness in Senate committee offices has turned to panic as an army of Democratic staffers braces to be fired, replaced by a Republican majority and their aides.

The spoils of political war? Estimates are that 300-600 Democratic committee and personal staff jobs would be on the chopping block if the Republicans pull off the expected victory.

“There will be a mass exodus of Senate Democrat staff from committees,” said one insider.

And Republicans will get to hire hundreds more aides. A loss on Tuesday that keeps the Democrats in charge of the Senate will cost no GOP jobs, other than those working for retiring lawmakers.
Ouch.

Obama Administration Backs Down On For-Profit College Regulations

Buzzfeed

Poll: Republican Tom Cotton Has A Commanding Lead In Arkansas

TPM

NBC Nightly News Broadcasts Critical Story About Common Core

Newsbusters

O'Keefe Strikes Again: Multiple NC Campaign Workers Willing to Aid Non-Citizen With Felony Kay Hagan Votes

Death spiral? Short-term health plans grow as cheap alternative to ObamaCare

Fox News

Stuart Rothenberg: Senate Outlook- Advantage to Republicans

Stuart Rothenberg reports:
Five Senate seats look increasingly like they will be keys to what kind of election the two parties will have this year.

The GOP looks poised to take over six Democratic seats: Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia. If they do that and hold all of their own, they will win Senate control for President Barack Obama’s final two years in office.

But five other seats – two of them currently held by Republicans and three by Democrats – should determine control and, if the GOP wins, the size of that party’s majority.

Colorado, Iowa and North Carolina are the Democratic-held seats most worth watching, while Kansas and Georgia are the Republican seats at risk next month. One additional state should be on your radar – New Hampshire. But if Republican Scott Brown knocks off Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen in the Granite State, you can assume that a huge wave is carrying the GOP to an 8 to 10 seat net gain for the cycle.

The runoff dynamic complicates things for Democrats.

Assuming that Republicans win the five non-runoff states most likely to flip control and lose Kansas, both Louisiana and Georgia, which are expected to go to runoffs, become nationalized battles for control of the Senate.
The establishment's Stuart Rothenberg speaks.

WAVE ELECTION… Republicans Looking at Largest House Majority Since 1928

The Gateway Pundit

The Revenge Of Mitch McConnell: GOP Senate Will Halt Obama Nominations

TPM

Three Ways Parents are Ruining Halloween

KXLY-WA: Washington State Faces A Shortage Of Primary Care Doctors Due To ObamaCare

The Fed did not end QE

AEI reports:
In spite of all the media reports which say so, the Federal Reserve did not “end” QE yesterday. QE, the Fed’s massive manipulation of the bond market and credit allocation scheme, will not be at an end as long as the Fed’s balance sheet continues to be bloated. Although the Fed has decided not to increase the bloat further, it has not even stopped new purchases of long-term mortgage-backed securities and government bonds. The Fed wants to maintain the size of its QE bond portfolio, so it intends to make new buys to replace any principal reductions or bond maturities. Thus the $4.5 trillion balance sheet rolls forward.

In that $4.5 trillion of Fed assets are $1.7 trillion of mortgage-backed securities, funded by short-term deposits, making the Fed the biggest savings and loan in the world. This would have been considered impossible by generations of Fed officials, not to mention the fathers of the Federal Reserve Act. It represents a giant government credit allocation to the housing sector. Likewise, the $2.3 trillion of long-term government bonds in the portfolio represents a giant credit allocation to government deficits. Oh yes, QE lives on, though it may not be growing.
Just a reminder.

Nate Silver: Senate Update On the Road to Recount Land

538

Democrats Just Lost the Phony War on Women

The Fiscal Times

For richer, for poorer: How family structures economic success in America

AEI

Mafia induction recording made history 25 years ago in Medford, Mass.

The Boston Globe reports:
Mobsters from throughout New England gathered at a modest home in Medford on Oct. 29, 1989, to baptize four new soldiers, who pricked their trigger fingers, burned Holy cards and vowed to kill for the Mafia — unaware that the FBI was recording every word.

New England Mafia Boss Raymond “Junior” Patriarca said he had made peace with a renegade faction that had recently killed the family underboss in Connecticut and wounded another mobster in a shooting outside a Saugus pancake house. It was 25 years ago Wednesday.
Listen to clip.

Poll: Americans Think Obama Admin’s Playing Politics By Delaying Obamacare Sign-ups Until After Election

The Daily Caller

Larry Sabato:Bet on a GOP Senate Majority


Politico reports:
While many races remain close, it’s just getting harder and harder to envision a plausible path for the Democrats to retain control of the Senate. Ultimately, with just a few days to go before the election, the safe bet would be on Republicans eventually taking control of the upper chamber.

We say eventually because there’s a decent chance we won’t know who wins the Senate on Election Night. Louisiana is guaranteed to go to a runoff, and Georgia seems likelier than not to do the same. The Georgia runoff would be Jan. 6, 2015, three days after the 114th Congress is scheduled to open. Vote-counting in some states, like Alaska, will take days, and other races are close enough to trigger a recount.



Just a reminder: Larry Sabato is one of the best in the business of making political predictions.

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Ben Shapiro: The True Story of Ferguson and the Gentle Giant

Giants win 3rd World Series title in 5 years, edging Royals in Game 7

The Washington Times

Election could tip historic number of legislatures into Republican hands

The Washington Post reports:
Republicans have the opportunity to take control of a record number of state legislative chambers across the country this year, as Democrats play defense in unfavorable terrain.

The Republican landslide in 2010 and the subsequent redistricting process in 2012 gave the GOP control of a nearly unprecedented number of legislative chambers. Today, the party controls 59 of the 98 partisan chambers in 49 states, while Democrats control only 39 chambers (One legislature, Nebraska’s is officially nonpartisan).

Once election results are tabulated in the 6,049 legislative races on the ballot in 46 states this year, Republicans could find themselves running even more.
Imagine that.

Why Middle-Class Americans Can't Afford to Live in Liberal Cities

The Atlantic

Secret Service Agents Pay a Visit to Anti-Obama Artist Sabo — and the Entire Exchange Is Seemingly Captured on Video


The Blaze

Ernst Has Four-Point Lead in Latest Quinnipiac Poll of Iowa Senate Race

Bloomberg reports:
Iowa's Senate race remains tight as the campaign heads into its final days, with Republican Joni Ernst at 49 percent and Democrat Bruce Braley at 45 percent, a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday shows.

Just 5 percent of likely voters remain undecided in a race that will help determine control of the Senate. The results show a slightly larger lead for Ernst than in a poll the university released Oct. 23, although it's still just outside the survey's 3.4 percentage point margin of error.

The university's latest survey shows independent voters, the state's largest voting bloc, backing Ernst over Braley, 50 percent to 41 percent.
Joni.

Cook Political Report: The 2014 Political Environment

The Cook Political Report

David Gilmour: 'There's No Room in My Life for Pink Floyd'


Rolling Stone

Latino Support for Democrats Falls, but Democratic Advantage Remains


Pew Research

Pressure Grows for Marines to Lower Standards for Women: 27 Female Marines Have Attempted the Infantry Officers Training Course. None Have Passed.

The Washington Free Beacon

Social Security: The Inherent Contradiction (Peter Ferrara)

Walker opens up seven point lead among likely voters in final Marquette poll

Hot Air reports:
A month ago, Wisconsin’s most respected pollster showed Walker at 50 percent and leading by nearly six percentage points. Two weeks ago, the race tightened considerably, with Democrat Mary Burke pulling into a tie with the incumbent — thanks in large measure to some puzzling shifts in the internals. Marquette Law School’s final poll of the race shows dramatic movement back toward Walker.
This could be the story of the election.

Trek sources: Mary Burke’s family fired her for incompetence

Watchdog

Alan Greenspan: QE Failed To Help The Economy, The Unwind Will Be Painful, "Buy Gold"

Zerohedge

Illinois Political Guru Russ Stewart Predicts Two Key Republican Victories Next Tuesday: Bruce Rauner and Robert Dold


He correct most of the time. Few people are better at predicting Illinois elections than him. He's Illinois political guru Russ Stewart, who's predicting GOP candidates Bruce Rauner and Robert Dold are going to win-the Governor's race and IL-10.

Ernst Inching Ahead In Iowa Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Branstad, The Iowa Institution, Cruising To Reelection

Quinnipiac

U.S. Earnings Reassure Investors but Growth Lags

The Wall Street Journal

Jimmy Page Hints at Unreleased Surprises in Upcoming Led Zeppelin Reissues

Ultimate Classic Rock

Tim Cook Explains Why The iPod Classic Had To Die

The Huffington Post reports:
Speaking at the Wall Street Journal's international technology conference Monday night, Apple CEO Tim Cook came clean about why the company discontinued the iPod Classic.

"We couldn’t get the parts anymore, not anywhere on Earth," Cook said. "It wasn’t a matter of me swinging the ax, saying, 'What can I kill today.'"

The iPod Classic was quietly pulled from the online Apple Store in September, during the release of the iPhone 6 and Apple Watch. And while the company maybe could have redesigned the device, it turns out that the iconic Classic didn't attract enough interest to keep it on the market.
The best Ipod.

Senate Democrats' Last Bastion: Single, College-Educated Women

The National Journal

Video: Vote-buying scheme in Chicago?

Hot Air
FOX 32 News Chicago

Obama on Early Voting: "You Can Only Vote Once; This Isn't Chicago"

Real Clear Politics

Shocking Harvard poll: Millennial voters want GOP in charge, abandon Obama

The Washington Examiner

Why U.S. green groups are talking about abortion this election

Reuters reports:
Green billionaire Tom Steyer vowed to make the November congressional elections about climate change. Now he's talking about abortion and the economy to get his candidates across the finish line.

Steyer, a hedge fund manager turned environmentalist, launched a state-of-the-art operation to push voters to elect governors and senators willing to confront global warming. His NextGen Climate Action political committee is on track to spend more than $55 million in this election - an unprecedented amount for an environmentalist group.

But NextGen and other green groups are not talking about climate change as much as one would expect.
Abortion and green groups: imagine that.

A Nerve-Wracking Finish for Democrats

Roll Call

More Trouble For Those Poli Sci Researchers

TPM

Elton John at AIDS event: Pope Francis is my hero

The Sacramento Bee reports:
Elton John called Pope Francis "my hero" for his compassion and push to accept gays in the Catholic church, at his annual AIDS benefit.

John hosted the event, "An Enduring Vision: A Benefit for the Elton John AIDS Foundation," Tuesday night in New York City. He said Francis is pushing boundaries in the church and told the crowd: "Make this man a saint now, OK?"


Sir Elton speaks.

Beauprez Pulls Ahead In Colorado Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Republican Up 21 Points Among Men

Quinnipiac University reports:
Men are going Republican in a big way in the Colorado governor's race, giving former U. S. Rep. Bob Beauprez, the Republican challenger a 45 - 40 percent likely voter lead over Gov. John Hickenlooper, the Democratic incumbent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Libertarian candidate Matthew Hess has 4 percent, with 2 percent for Green Party candidate Harry Hempy. Another 9 percent are undecided.

This compares to an October 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University showing 45 percent for Gov. Hickenlooper and 44 percent for Beauprez.
Gender gap.

Jon Stewart Mocks Dems' Obama Retreat: It's Like We 'Found Your Porn' (VIDEO)

TPM

Nate Silver: The Momentum Mirage

538 on the battle for the Senate and the media coverage:
You might be hearing that Democrats or Republicans have “momentum” heading into the final week of the 2014 campaign. On Tuesday, for example, a Washington Post headline asserted “Midterm momentum belongs to GOP.” That was based on a generic ballot poll showing a 6 percentage point Republican lead. But later in the day, a Fox News generic ballot poll came out showing Democrats up by 1 point instead — Fox had previously shown Republicans ahead.

This pattern — or rather, this lack of a pattern — has been typical throughout this election cycle. Whenever one party seems to be gaining an advantage, the other party has countered it with some good news of their own.

Republicans have maintained a narrow overall edge in their quest for a Senate majority, but the magnitude of their advantage hasn’t changed much throughout the campaign. When the FiveThirtyEight model launched Sept. 2, it gave Republicans a 64 percent chance of winning Senate control. In our latest forecast, their chances are 62 percent. They’ve never been higher than 66 percent or lower than 53 percent.
Just a reminder.

My investor husband pushed me into sex swaps for biz deals


The New York Post

Senate battleground tilts away from Democrats

The Hill reports:
Democrats’ path to holding their Senate majority has narrowed, with Republicans pulling ahead in critical states and on the cusp of upsets in several others.

Even some within the party are starting to say their midterm prognosis isn’t good.
Ouch.

Flashback : Planned Parenthood Founder Margaret Sanger Praises Eugenics and Birth Control


Check out Randall Hansen and Desmond King in their book Sterilized By The State. On page 46 and 47 they quote feminist/eugenics icon Margaret Sanger:
Birth Control opens the way for the eugenicist and preserves his work. By freeing reproduction from its present chains it makes a better race.
Just a reminder the next time you hear a politician defend Margaret Sanger's Planned Parenthood.

Bloody Tuesday for Illinois Taxpayers: Tens of millions to fund Quinn’s new jobs claims

Wirepoints reports:
Not just another day in Illinois. The election is coming up, so open your wallets to fund the pork. Here’s what we got today:

Cronus will build a fertilizer plant downstate employing 175, and 25 jobs will be created in Chicago. Cost: $52 million for just 200 permanent jobs!
The disaster of Crony Capitalism.

Federal Reserve Plans Next Phase as End to Stimulus Program Is Expected

CNBC reports:
It's the end of Q.E., and financial markets feel fine.

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to announce on Wednesday the end of its latest bond-buying program, known as quantitative easing, or Q.E. Fed officials say the purchases served to strengthen job growth, and the economic recovery no longer needs quite so much of the central bank's support.

Investors panicked and markets convulsed in the summer of 2013 when the Fed first hinted that this day was coming. But the Fed has since avoided all the drama by loudly announcing a schedule for the retreat and then adhering to it with absolute fidelity.
Is it really the end of Fed manipulation??? We highly doubt it.

Jim Rogers: ‘We’re All Going to pay a Terrible Price’ for Central Bank Stimulus


Economic Collapse News

Wireless Music Sharing

CampCite

Lobbyists, Bearing Gifts, Pursue Attorneys General

The New York Times reports:
When the executives who distribute 5-Hour Energy, the popular caffeinated drinks, learned that attorneys general in more than 30 states were investigating allegations of deceptive advertising — a serious financial threat to the company — they moved quickly to shut the investigations down, one state at a time.

But success did not come in court or at a negotiating table.

Instead, it came at the opulent Loews Santa Monica Beach Hotel in California, with its panoramic ocean views, where more than a dozen state attorneys general had gathered last year for cocktails, dinners and fund-raisers organized by the Democratic Attorneys General Association. A lawyer for 5-Hour Energy roamed the event, setting her sights on Attorney General Chris Koster of Missouri, whose office was one of those investigating the company.

“My client just received notification that Missouri is on this,” the lawyer, Lori Kalani, told him.

Ms. Kalani’s firm, Dickstein Shapiro, had courted the attorney general at dinners and conferences and with thousands of dollars in campaign contributions. Mr. Koster told Ms. Kalani that he was unaware of the investigation, and he reached for his phone and called his office. By the end of the weekend, he had ordered his staff to pull out of the inquiry, a clear victory for 5-Hour Energy.
Imagine that.

Carla Gericke Defeats Police in Court; Plus, Life in South Africa

Outside Spending Shows How Few of the House Races Are Competitive

The New York Times reports:
How small is the field of competitive House races? So narrow that just 25 contests account for 80 percent of all reported outside spending in the general election.

The Cook Political Report rates 38 seats either as tossups or leaning toward one party or the other, but among groups operating outside the district like super PACs, the concentration is even tighter: Half of all independent spending reported to the Federal Election Commission for general election races has gone to just a dozen seats, with two apiece in Arizona and Illinois.
The great moments of politics .

Homeownership in America Has Collapsed—Don't Blame Millennials

The Atlantic

Northwestern professor accused of sexual assault sues accuser for defamation

The Chicago Sun-Times reports:
A Northwestern University professor accused in a lawsuit of attempting to sexually assault a former student is now suing his accuser for defamation, claiming she made false accusations that invaded his privacy and hindered his career prospects.

Peter Ludlow, a philosophy professor at the Evanston university, filed the lawsuit Tuesday in Cook County Circuit Court.

Ludlow alleges the student’s claims that he got her drunk and attempted to sexually assault her are “provably false.”

The allegations stem from a night in February 2012 when the student accompanied Ludlow to an interactive art show in the Loop.
Shouldn't the Chicago Sun-Times name the accuser since she is being sued in court???